Asset Management 2020: A Brave New World
February 11, 2014--The asset management industry stands on the edge of a number of fundamental shifts that will shape the future of the industry...
Most asset managers have afforded themselves little time to bring the future into focus and the way in which many of them will operate in 2020, will be significantly different compared with today.
Asset Management 2020-A Brave New World, sets out how the operating landscape for asset managers will change by 2020 and explains how asset managers can prepare for the challenges ahead and turn them into competitive advantages.
view the PwC report-Asset Management 2020 A Brave New World
Source: PwC
IMF Working paper-What is Shadow Banking?
February 11, 2014--Summary: There is much confusion about what shadow banking is. Some equate it with securitization, others with non-traditional bank activities, and yet others with non-bank lending.
Regardless, most think of shadow banking as activities that can create systemic risk. This paper proposes to describe shadow banking as "all financial activities, except traditional banking, which require a private or public backstop to operate". Backstops can come in the form of franchise value of a bank or insurance company, or in the form of a government guarantee. The need for a backstop is in our view a crucial feature of shadow banking, which distinguishes it from the "usual" intermediated capital market activities, such as custodians, hedge funds, leasing companies, etc
view the IMF Working paper-What is Shadow Banking?
Source: IMF
Economic crisis provides lessons for new approaches to forecasting, says OECD
February 11, 2014--Extreme volatility during the global financial crisis complicated economic forecasting, leading to large errors that underline the need for better modelling methods and new approaches for making and presenting projections, according to an OECD report.
OECD forecasts during and after the financial crisis: a post-mortem says that the Organisation's economic projections under-predicted the depth of the collapse in activity in 2008-09 and over-estimated the pace of recovery in recent years.
The degree of forecasting errors seen over the 2007-12 period is similar in size to that seen around the first oil shock in the 1970s.
view the OECD forecasts during and after the financial crisis: A Post Mortem report
Source: OECD
ESMA consults on new CRA transparency requirements
February 11, 2014--The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) has published a Consultation Paper setting out the draft Regulatory Technical Standards (RTS) required for the implementation of the CRA3 Regulation (Regulation).
The draft RTS, which complements the existing regulatory framework for credit rating agencies (CRAs), cover:
disclosure requirements on structured finance instruments (SFIs);
the European Rating Platform (ERP); and
the periodic reporting on fees charged by CRAs.
view the ESMA Consultation Paper On CRA3 implementation
Source: ESMA
BlackRock ETP Landscape-Outflows Amid Volatility
February 10, 2014--Non-US Developed markets Equity ETP strength helps offset US and Emerging Markets outflows.
Global ETP outflows of ($9.7bn) during January were driven by Equity redemptions of ($10.8bn) and diverged from the strong starts seen in the past two years. However, investors continued to turn to the industry to efficiently execute their market views during a volatile month for stocks.
The bright spots for flows in January were in non-US Developed Markets Equity, which gathered $11.2bn as a number of key themes from 2013 continued into the new year.
Concerns over Emerging Markets as well as US valuations and earnings impacted January flows. These concerns also led to stock market declines worldwide, with volatility likely to increase from historical lows going forward.
Source: BlackRock ETP Landscape Research
ETF Securities-Precious Metals Weekly-Gold and Silver Bounce Back
February 10, 2014--US payrolls disappoint again, driving gold price higher. Many analysts described the
weak US December employment number (released January 10th) as a 'one-off,' likely to be revised for the better with the January figure. That failed to occur last Friday as January
employment disappointed again.
Many analysts quickly blamed the extreme cold weather expecting yet better data next month. Despite that, US rates and the dollar came off and the gold price rallied. Both 1-month gold forward rates (GOFO) and the futures curve moved into negative territory last week. As the chart below shows, these conditions occur rarely (and usually unwind quickly), but they do indicate tightness in the physical gold market. After the sharp price declines last year it appears that investors are warming to gold again as it is recognized that global economic recovery is unlikely to be a straight-line and gold potentially provides portfolios with protection against further growth or financial disappointments.
Silver rallies along with gold and industrial metals last week. Precious metals were little changed last week, with the exception of silver, which increased 2.9% for a year-to-date gain of 1.9%. Physical silver ETF's saw inflows last week as investors increasingly constructive view of gold, together with silver's traditional high correlation to the gold price but much higher volatility (nearly double over the past ten years) appears to be attracting investors. Silver has the additional benefit of having around 60% of its demand come from industry, therefore making it a potential beneficiary of rising global growth in 2014.
Source: ETF Securities
ETFGI Global ETF and ETP assets suffer a 3.2 percent decline in January 2014 based on net outflows of 7.6 billion US dollars and market performance
February 10, 2014--In January 2014, global ETF/ETP assets fell by 3.2% to US$2.32 trillion based on negative market performance and net outflows of US$7.6 billion, according to preliminary findings from ETFGI's January 2014 Global ETF and ETP industry insights report. January was a difficult month for emerging and developed equity markets.
"Concerns about economic uncertainty and unrest in emerging markets, a fear that US stocks are over bought and uncertainty over the impact of Fed tapering caused investors to take net outflows of US$7.6 billion from ETFs/ETPs in January 2014", according to Deborah Fuhr, Managing Partner at ETFGI.
Equity ETFs/ETPs experienced the largest net outflows with US$11.8 billion, followed by commodity ETFs/ETPs with US$1.9 billion, while fixed income ETFs/ETPs gathered the largest net inflows with US$2.9 billion.
Source: ETFGI
EY Global ETF Survey-A new era of growth-January 2014
February 10, 2014--The EY Global ETF Survey-A new era of growth report is available.
view the EY Global ETF Survey-A new era of growth-January 2014
Source: EY
ETFGI monthly newsletter, January 2014
January 10, 2014--Global ETF and ETP assets suffer a 3.2 percent decline in January 2014
In January 2014, global ETF/ETP assets fell by 3.2% to US$2.32 trillion based on negative market performance and net outflows of US$7.6 billion, according to preliminary findings from ETFGI's January 2014 Global ETF and ETP industry insights report.
January was a difficult month for emerging and developed equity markets.view more
Source: ETFGI
ETFs respond to market changes
February 10, 2014--Sir, John Authers, in "Emerging markets are not being well served by ETFs" (February 3), attempts to make the case that exchange traded funds are the cause of recent outflows from emerging markets.
This argument provides a catchy headline, but it is quite naive. ETF assets respond to changes in markets; they don’t cause them. And emerging markets have always been more volatile than developed ones. For investors, this is the point. It is what drives the dynamics of risk and return.
Source: FT.com