BIS-Monetary policy in an era of supply headwinds-do the old principles still stand?

October 2, 2024--Adverse supply shocks have played a significant role in the post-pandemic inflation surge, when inflation rates in advanced economies reached levels not seen since the 1970s. The future is likely to bring more volatile inflation due to less elastic supply capacities and more frequent adverse supply shocks, necessitating a re-evaluation of monetary policy principles and frameworks

The traditional approach of "looking through" supply-driven inflation has been based on the transitory nature of such shocks and anchored inflation expectations. However, the recent inflation surge has revealed that risks of inflation de-anchoring can emerge suddenly, and forceful monetary tightening may be required to re-anchor expectations and stabilise inflation. Going forward, more frequent adverse supply shocks mean that central banks must exercise care when assessing if they can look through their inflationary effects.

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New WFE Research quantifies the impact of stock exchanges on economic growth

January 6, 2025--The World Federation of Exchanges, the global industry association for exchanges and CCPs (The WFE), has published new research which analyses the link between stock market development and economic growth on a global scale.
The research analysed quarterly data from 36 countries over two decades (2003-2022).

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5 transformational trends shaping global finance

January 6, 2025--The global economy has undergone seismic changes since the pandemic.
Major structural shifts are underway, shaped by five fundamental forces:
Deglobalization, decarbonization, debt, digitalization, and demographics.
The global economy is very different now compared with even just a few years ago.

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