WEF-Chief Economists Outlook: September 2024

September 25, 2024--The September 2024 Chief Economists Outlook explores key trends in the global economy, including the latest outlook for growth, inflation, monetary and fiscal policy, the implications of high public debt levels, and the prospects for a new growth agenda.
This latest edition of the Chief Economists Outlook launches amid continuing economic uncertainty. The short-term outlook for the global economy has begun to stabilize, but many vulnerabilities remain.

There are reasons for cautious optimism, notably including a continued gradual easing of inflation rates and a shift to looser monetary policy. However, the prolonged sluggish pace of global growth, compounded by heightened political volatility, leaves many countries vulnerable to economic shocks. Current debt dynamics are undermining government efforts to boost growth and leave countries poorly prepared for the next economic downturn. When it comes to the prospects for a new growth agenda, greater political consensus and international collaboration will be essential to balance the quality and quantity of growth.

Goods trade growth set to moderate as barometer index dips

November 28, 2025-Goods trade growth appears to have slowed in the second half of 2025 following a surge in the first half driven by frontloading of imports ahead of expected tariff hikes and by rising demand for AI-related products, according to the latest WTO Goods Trade Barometer.