Amundi ETF Market Strategy-Weekly Pulse

May 17, 2024--Risk assets extended gains and hovered near record highs. A further deceleration in inflation revived hopes that both the US Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank (ECB) are heading closer to a pivot in monetary policy.
Treasuries rallied across the board and the US dollar weakened. Flows were primarily directed into government bond exposures and high yield debt.

Japan and EM exposures were favoured within equities.

PREDICTABILITY WITH FIXED MATURITY

Navigating the ECB's future policy rates path:
The final inflation release for April indicated continued disinflation in the euro area, clearing the way for the central bank to start cutting rates in June.

IMF World Economic Outlook -Global Economy in Flux, Prospects Remain Dim October 2025

October 14, 2025-- While the near-term forecast is revised up modestly, global growth remains subdued, as the newly introduced policies slowly come into focus
The global economy is adjusting to a landscape reshaped by new policy measures. Some extremes of higher tariffs were tempered, thanks to subsequent deals and resets. But the overall environment remains volatile, and temporary factors that supported activity in the first half of 2025-such as front-loading are fading.