Emerging Markets Are Exercising Greater Global Sway

April 9, 2024--Policymakers must be ready to manage greater spillovers to the global economy as emerging markets' influence grows
The global economy is increasingly influenced by the Group of Twenty's large emerging markets. Over the past two decades, these economies have become much more integrated with global markets and are generating larger economic "spillovers" to the rest of the world.

At a time when growth prospects are weakening in China and several other large emerging markets, it is critical for policymakers-both in G20 emerging markets and those countries that could be impacted-to understand the channels through which a slowdown could propagate through the global economy.

Growth spillovers from domestic shocks in G20 emerging markets have increased over the past two decades and are now comparable to those from advanced economies, as we detail in an analytical chapter of the April 2024 World Economic Outlook. We also examine how such shocks spread through trade to companies and industries in other countries.

IMF World Economic Outlook -Global Economy in Flux, Prospects Remain Dim October 2025

October 14, 2025-- While the near-term forecast is revised up modestly, global growth remains subdued, as the newly introduced policies slowly come into focus
The global economy is adjusting to a landscape reshaped by new policy measures. Some extremes of higher tariffs were tempered, thanks to subsequent deals and resets. But the overall environment remains volatile, and temporary factors that supported activity in the first half of 2025-such as front-loading are fading.